2026 Fuel Market Outlook: What it Means for Your Transportation Budget

Fuel is the second largest and most volatile operating expense in transportation, and traditional fuel surcharge programs expose your budget to unnecessary costs and risks. Forecasts for 2026 signal continued volatility, making it critical for transportation leaders to move beyond outdated, average-based reimbursement models.

Our 2026 Fuel Outlook provides the data-driven insights you need to navigate market complexities and turn your fuel spend from a volatile cost center into a powerful strategic advantage.

Key Takeaways from the Report:

• An emerging global supply surplus is creating downward pressure on crude oil prices, yet regional disruptions are adding significant volatility.
• Refinery closures on the West Coast and continued U.S. diesel exports are tightening domestic supply and creating complex pricing dynamics.
• Traditional fuel surcharge programs based on the weekly DOE index are inaccurate, leading to missed savings opportunities.

Learn why Fuel Recovery is the definitive solution for fair and accurate fuel reimbursement.